IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
SE Louisiana
Southland
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.3	#236
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.6	#289
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.5	#243

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.8	#242

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	18.5%	38.7%	17.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	14.9	15.5

.500 or above	49.6%	81.0%	47.9%
.500 or above in Conference	72.2%	89.9%	71.3%
Conference Champion	10.2%	19.7%	9.7%
Last Place in Conference	3.0%	0.1%	3.2%

First Four	8.4%	10.4%	8.3%
First Round	14.6%	33.4%	13.5%
Second Round	0.6%	2.1%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: LSU (Away) - 5.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 1.9	0.0 - 1.9
Quad 1b	0.1 - 1.1	0.1 - 3.0
Quad 2	0.2 - 1.3	0.3 - 4.3
Quad 3	1.5 - 3.8	1.8 - 8.1
Quad 4	12.5 - 6.5	14.3 - 14.7

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	46	@ LSU	L	65-79	5%
Nov 11, 2018	35	@ Nebraska	L	62-77	4%
Nov 13, 2018	29	@ Texas Tech	L	59-75	4%
Nov 17, 2018	337	Stetson	W	74-66	84%
Nov 20, 2018	344	@ Mississippi Valley	W	75-65	71%
Dec 01, 2018	195	@ Tulane	L	70-72	31%
Dec 12, 2018	118	Mississippi	L	68-76	24%
Dec 17, 2018	288	California Baptist	W	71-68	69%
Dec 19, 2018	296	@ Grambling St.	W	73-70	50%
Dec 22, 2018	117	@ Bradley	L	62-70	17%
Dec 29, 2018	100	Louisiana	L	68-77	31%
Jan 02, 2019	105	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	66-74	17%
Jan 05, 2019	303	Central Arkansas	W	76-72	71%
Jan 12, 2019	230	Abilene Christian	L	68-69	59%
Jan 16, 2019	227	Lamar	L	68-69	59%
Jan 19, 2019	304	@ McNeese St.	W	73-69	53%
Jan 23, 2019	312	@ Houston Baptist	W	78-74	54%
Jan 26, 2019	328	@ Northwestern St.	W	71-64	63%
Jan 30, 2019	258	Sam Houston St.	W	67-66	64%
Feb 02, 2019	263	Nicholls St.	W	73-72	64%
Feb 06, 2019	309	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	68-64	54%
Feb 09, 2019	303	@ Central Arkansas	W	76-72	53%
Feb 13, 2019	330	Incarnate Word	W	74-67	80%
Feb 16, 2019	304	McNeese St.	W	73-69	71%
Feb 20, 2019	292	@ New Orleans	W	68-65	49%
Feb 23, 2019	230	@ Abilene Christian	L	68-69	40%
Mar 02, 2019	328	Northwestern St.	W	71-64	79%
Mar 06, 2019	292	New Orleans	W	68-65	68%
Mar 09, 2019	263	@ Nicholls St.	W	73-72	45%
Projected Record						14.3 - 14.7	10.4 - 7.6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.9	2.1	3.0	2.4	1.4	0.3		10.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	2.1	4.9	4.7	2.4	0.6	0.1			15.3	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	2.6	5.1	3.3	1.0	0.1					12.5	3rd
4th										0.2	2.5	5.0	3.1	0.7	0.0						11.6	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	1.8	4.3	3.2	0.6	0.0							10.1	5th
6th								0.1	0.7	4.1	2.9	0.5	0.0								8.3	6th
7th							0.0	0.6	3.1	3.3	0.7	0.0									7.8	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	2.3	3.1	0.9	0.1										6.7	8th
9th						0.1	1.3	2.8	1.1	0.1											5.4	9th
10th					0.1	0.9	2.0	1.3	0.2												4.5	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.6	1.6	1.2	0.2													3.7	11th
12th		0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	0.7	0.2	0.0													2.5	12th
13th	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.1															1.6	13th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.0	2.1	3.5	5.0	7.1	8.4	10.4	11.0	11.9	11.0	9.9	7.8	5.5	3.0	1.4	0.3			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
17-1	96.4%	1.4		1.2	0.2
16-2	80.1%	2.4		1.6	0.7	0.0
15-3	55.1%	3.0		1.6	1.3	0.1
14-4	26.6%	2.1		0.8	0.9	0.4	0.0
13-5	9.2%	0.9		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0					0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	10.2%	10.2		5.7	3.5	0.9	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.3%		77.1%	77.1%		13.8										0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1
17-1	1.4%		77.3%	77.3%		14.1												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.3
16-2	3.0%		64.5%	64.5%		14.8												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.8	0.5	1.1
15-3	5.5%		47.4%	47.4%		15.2													0.0	0.1	0.3	1.1	1.1	2.9
14-4	7.8%		43.8%	43.8%		15.5													0.0	0.1	0.2	1.0	2.1	4.4
13-5	9.9%		30.2%	30.2%		15.9														0.0	0.1	0.5	2.4	6.9
12-6	11.0%		23.5%	23.5%		15.9															0.0	0.2	2.4	8.4
11-7	11.9%		13.8%	13.8%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.6	10.2
10-8	11.0%		8.8%	8.8%		16.0																0.0	1.0	10.0
9-9	10.4%		5.9%	5.9%		16.0																0.0	0.6	9.8
8-10	8.4%		2.6%	2.6%		16.0																	0.2	8.2
7-11	7.1%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.1	7.0
6-12	5.0%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.0	4.9
5-13	3.5%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	3.4
4-14	2.1%																							2.1
3-15	1.0%																							1.0
2-16	0.5%																							0.5
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		18.5%	18.5%	0.0%	15.5										0.0		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.7	4.0	12.2	81.5		0.0%